Any news on 3090 XC3 Ultra this week?

Cerulean_Shaman

comp07

eknight76

GTXJackBauer

eknight76

evgatorator
 
 
Thank you, kind stranger! I opened that spreadsheet and had a near stroke while trying to figure out what goes where... I understand the current position could be off by a HUGE number because not everyone who signed up has added their data to that spreadsheet, but does the current position factor in those who have received notifications already or does the 220th position (for example) implies there are still 219 people ahead of me waiting for their notifications? 
 
Thanks again! 

As you already implied, the positions does not really represent your true place in the queue.  The thing the spreadsheet tells you best is roughly where the queue is in terms of time.  So for instance, the last time for the 3080 ftw3 ultras is at around 8:10 AM on 9/17.  Approximately 150 people for those on the queue list.  So if you're sign up time is around 8 AM, you should be expecting an email soon.
 
That said, it does say a little bit about the proportion of people in the total queue before you.  for example, about 25% of the people signed up before 8 AM on 9/17.  So going through the early hours will take a long time.
 
I think the next 2 weeks will be very telling.  If Nvidia can't pump out a good volume of cards before big navi, lets say move 2 hours, there is little reason to believe the big giant drops are coming.  But Jacob says supply is improving week over week, so I hope the mountain of gpus are on their way.  

I'm sorry but this is wrong.  Your contradicting yourself in the first two sentences.  
 
For one, all the DIY data is malarkey and doesn't mean a thing.  Until you have access to the real que data, everything is just a guessing game.  Not a indicator, etc.  
 
Two, whats to say EVGA drops and sells a 1000 GPUs and only a small portion of people say they got theirs from this DIY database?  People could than say EVGA isn't making enough GPUs, etc.  Than you'll see people get upset, that's it forget it, I'm leaving EVGA for another AIB or jumping to AMD, etc.  These are the possible negative affects against EVGA and misinforming the public on the que system for raising their hopes falsely.  It's better being honest with someone like hey, you're in que and just wait for it whenever it comes versus a few people dotting down their names and some getting upset and canceling because of the high expectations it creates.
 
 

Nothing I said was untrue.
 
Because your number 200 on the list means that you are not number 200 in the real queue.  That's undeniable.  If the latest queue time self reports that they received a card, at 8:10 AM on 9/17, then if you're near that time you should be receiving a card sooner than later.  If you think it is bad to tell someone who has a 8:15 time that an email might be coming soon, than I don't know what to tell you.
 
Jacob himself send that sign ups during the first day was the heaviest.  The spreadsheet also shows that.  None of this is that surprising.  In fact last week, queue times moved more than any other week, showing that inventory is increasing.
 
Any how, contrary to what you're saying, if anything, I'm trying to be realistic as to how long people should be waiting.  We're not even out of the first day and we have people who signed up in October asking how come they haven't received their email yet.  So don't be challenging my honesty.  I am not misleading people in any way. 

Well defended.....and correct.

Not exactly; his response not only underscores, highlights, and circles the fact that the only statistic that really matters is the latest reported receive time - like I've said before - it also shows the danger of depending on the spreadsheet for any meaningful kind of information. For instance, eknight76's statement about ramped stock is dangerous, because he has no useable statistical data to back that up. For all we know, 8AM (or early 8AM) could simply be the an anomaly during where a slump in signups exists, making it seem like the queue is moving faster. After all, it's the period in the US east coast when folk are heading out to lunch (instead of slacking off at work refreshing) or about to head to work for west coast. It could also be a mixture of things, like LESS stock from nvidia, which again itself could be an anomaly lasting one week, but also less signups in the first tenth of 8AM. We literally don't have enough information. To make matters worse, the dataset is skewed because we don't know if the signups for 7 AM represent 10% of total signups and the spreadsheet signups for 8AM represent 50%, for example, though this is only partially meaningful.
 
Basically, the spreadsheet really shouldn't be used for anything outside of tracking the latest email times, which really is all that should have been done in the first place. It would have been a lot less work for whoever is managing the spreadsheet to just keep an updated table of the current position in queue, and less idiot-proof too.
 
That said, as I've also said before, the spreadsheet isn't hurting anyone either, I guess, and some people simply feel good about having some kind of agency in this whole ordeal even though I also agree with the sentiment that anyone who signed up in October should really just stop coming for a few more weeks. It's also a bit annoying that 90% of the thread is spam about the spreadsheet... and the spreadsheet itself is a eye-bleeding mess, so it's not easy to parse or travel through either.
 
It persists though so meh, and eknight76 is right that there's no harm in telling someone a rough guesstimation on times based on what we've seen. I kinda just wish it was a different, confined thread, and that we could use this one just to track the actual emails themselves. 

Fair enough. I think reasonable trends can be deduced from the spreadsheet as a matter of considering it a sample. One can reasonably argue that it is not a representative sample, but monte carlo studies show that even self selecting samples, such as surveys, once large enough show that reasonable findings can be made.

I do see that my language may have come across as too strong. Nothing I said is meant to be definitive. But if you base Jacob's comments as hypotheses, namely that sign ups are front loaded and that supply is increasing, the data supports that, but is not certainty. But that said, rarely do you have 100% accurate data for almost anything. I generally come from the place that leveraging all the information is better than gut feelings or relying on hope. I am pragmatist above all.

l00pback
im imagining a giant drop on Wednesday, late day.... to coincide with the big navi reveal

If we were talking about NVIDIA, I might agree with you.  But we are talking about EVGA, and I don't think they want to play games with the cards; they just want to get them in the hands of bona fide gamers and consumers. I have to believe that they are trying to get them to us ASAP -- which is why sometimes the drop is a really small one...they want to get them out rather than be more efficient by holding them for a bigger drop.  100% speculation on my part, by the way...but it feels true to me.

enewt

l00pback
im imagining a giant drop on Wednesday, late day.... to coincide with the big navi reveal

If we were talking about NVIDIA, I might agree with you.  But we are talking about EVGA, and I don't think they want to play games with the cards; they just want to get them in the hands of bona fide gamers and consumers. I have to believe that they are trying to get them to us ASAP -- which is why sometimes the drop is a really small one...they want to get them out rather than be more efficient by holding them for a bigger drop.  100% speculation on my part, by the way...but it feels true to me.

Agreed, why save them up instead of fulfilling all of the queue orders where people are dying to buy cards?  Plus, storing inventory versus moving inventory out the door is costly/inefficient (as you mentioned).

USALion
I just got e-mail. Why is it making me log in to PayPal when I want to pay with a Credit Card????

Congratulations! That is fantastic news.  For which card and at what time, if you don't mind (us) asking?

Can new members use associate codes too? I can't seem to find the codes when I go to other members profiles

asmodyus
Not sure if I was added to the list but just purchased :)
 
9/16/2020 12:54:28 PM PTYes

Looks like the queue/spreadsheet has moved by about an hour based on this...

enewt

TheBlitzAce
Could someone add me to the list, please?
 
I don't want to mess it up.
 
24G-P5-3971-KR 10/20/2020 5:16:00 AM PT No
10G-P5-3895-KR 10/20/2020 5:15:35 AM PT No
10G-P5-3885-KR 10/20/2020 5:15:05 AM PT No
10G-P5-3883-KR 10/20/2020 5:14:49 AM PT No
10G-P5-3881-KR 10/6/2020 7:30:37 AM PT No

You have been added.  I hope you wait is shorter than you anticipate.
 
3090 XC3 BLACK             Current position: 51
3080 FTW3 GAMING        Current position: 476
3080 XC3 ULTRA             Current position: 601
3080 XC3 GAMING          Current position: 469
3080 XC3 BLACK             Current position: 424
 

Haha well it looks like I'm going with a 3090.
 
Thanks for the info, friend!

Recon77
Can new members use associate codes too? I can't seem to find the codes when I go to other members profiles

Yep, Associate Codes are added during checkout. Automatically too if you click on the signature image and save the cookie with someones code (can always just copy/paste as well).

Well, for those that asked, I got e-mail for XC3 3080 Ultra, time 09/16 12:53 PM.

Recon77
Can new members use associate codes too? I can't seem to find the codes when I go to other members profiles

 
If you are an "Associates" member, you cannot use a code.  It is a binary choice: be an Associates member and get a code that others can use to get themselves discounts OR be a non-member that can use an Associate's code to get a discount for yourself.  

enewt
 
Yes, unfortunately, you've have a decent wait ahead of you.  I hope it moves quickly.  
 
Added.  
3080 XC3 ULTRA             10/16/2020 07:18:49       Current position: 600
3080 XC3 GAMING          10/16/2020 07:18:26       Current position: 472
3080 FTW3 ULTRA           10/16/2020 07:18:08       Current position: 1229
3080 FTW3 GAMING        10/15/2020 10:42:27       Current position: 469
3080 XC3 BLACK             10/15/2020 10:41:54       Current position: 498
3090 XC3 ULTRA             10/15/2020 10:41:24       Current position: 47
3090 XC3 GAMING          10/15/2020 10:41:08       Current position: 46
3090 XC3 BLACK             10/15/2020 10:40:48       Current position: 49
3090 FTW3 GAMING        10/15/2020 10:40:28       Current position: 120

I'm mostly interested in the 3090, but I'd honestly prefer the FTW3
Thanks for adding me!

enewt

l00pback
im imagining a giant drop on Wednesday, late day.... to coincide with the big navi reveal

If we were talking about NVIDIA, I might agree with you.  But we are talking about EVGA, and I don't think they want to play games with the cards; they just want to get them in the hands of bona fide gamers and consumers. I have to believe that they are trying to get them to us ASAP -- which is why sometimes the drop is a really small one...they want to get them out rather than be more efficient by holding them for a bigger drop.  100% speculation on my part, by the way...but it feels true to me.

 
True, but we already know that Nvidia is basically Peter Piper here; the AIBs do whatever Nvidia tells them to do, for better or worse. That's why don't have have a preorder system and honestly probably why we don't have more information about supply. From all we DO know, Nvidia pretty much made AIBs rush last minute for the launch anyway, and now they canceled the unannounced card tiers so abruptly that, again, AIB employee have said to influencers and techtubers that it's pretty much fing pissed a lot of them. Not sure if EVGA is included in that bunch, but it's not like they'd ever tell us anyway.
 
All this to say that EVGA will only ship what Nvidia gives them and allows them to ship. But I agree; I don't believe the theories about held back stock, it's just wishful thinking. Things WILL probably improve, especially if AMD cards are as high stock as leaks are saying, and that along with the 3070 should take a load of pressure off demand for the 3080. We should see the queue begin to pop next week, hopefully. Mostly depends on when AMD cards are actually available to ship, but even the availability of the 3070 should help; supposed to be waaaay more stock of that than 3080 and 3090 too but it doesn't seem like it going by what stores are saying.

USALion
I'm so pissed it didn't let me add the associates code!!!!!!!!!

Bummer, but only a couple sheckles in the grand scheme of things. I bet it's fixed shortly, but if I were you I probably wouldn't have been able to wait either haha. Grats on the card 

Just noted the 0% financing for 12 month on the product page.
Pretty reasonable ,considering that is how long it will take to get your card.