enewt


Congratulations.  Your watch is almost over.  One last piece of unsolicited advice: make sure you get the confirmatory emails from EVGA once you've completed your purchase and that your credit card company didn't "bounce" the charge as possible fraud.  It is rare, but can happen and given the 8 hour window...just double check.  

enewt

eknight76
Hey all, first time post to the evga forums.  Looking forward to joining to EVGA 3080 club!
 
So I'm doing a little armchair math based on the spreadsheets.  From what I can gather, yesterday was the largest drop of 3080 FTW3 Ultras that went out via the queue system.  From the spreadsheet, the list moved 30 spots.  As many surmised already, this clearly does not encompass all of the cards that went out, as not everyone has signed up to the list.  But if we make an assumption that the ratio of those who signed up to those who did not is relatively stable across the whole queue, a reasonable estimate would be we move about 30 spots on the list per 'big' drop.
 
From a tweet Jacob sent out today, he says drops of ftw3 ultras will be 'similar or more most of the time' as the big drop yesterday.  It also sounds like big drops happen once a week, with smaller ones the rest of the week.
 
So if you want a very rough estimate as to when it will be your turn, I would guess 30 spots per week from the highest spot currently verified to have received an email.  Right now, I'm seeing position 150 be the latest spot.  if you're position 400, for example, it would be (400-150)/30.  Or 8 weeks from now.  Probably a little less due to the the smaller weekly drops.  If this holds up, we won't be through 9/17 until December.
 
Seeing that Cyberpunk is about 3 weeks away.  You would need to be in position 240 or lower for the ftw3 ultra to get a card before the release.
 
Please remember this is just for rough timelines.  I suspect people will pass on 3080s as newer cards like the 3070 or the radeon 6000s are released, so the movement on the list will hopefully accelerate as we move to December.  We could also be getting much higher supply, but there is no proof of that currently, and from what Jacob tweeted, that probably won't be happening soon.
 
I encourage everyone to have patience.  I have all of the parts for a computer a right now sitting in boxes and I'm still waiting for a 3080.  So I want a card badly as just about anyone else, getting angry won't get cards out faster.

I appreciate the effort that went into this analysis.  I have a slightly different perspective, however. I think there are more likely to be a greater number of non-spreadsheet sign-ups during the "launch window" (which I will define as 9/16-17 and 9/18) when mainstream attention was squarely focused on the 3080 launch than later when it is this community that sustains our focus on EVGA branded cards.  As we get past the "launch window", I fully expect the spreadsheet sign-ups to become a greater and greater percentage of the total remaining sign-ups and for the velocity of clearance of the spreadsheet-listed queue to increase dramatically. 
 
TLDR; just as it appears that the volume of cards released is increasing, so too does my model predict that the spreadsheet sign-ups will reflect a greater and greater percentage of the "remaining" queue. I strongly doubt people in the first 400 on the spreadsheet for the 3080 FTW3 Ultra will have to wait 8 weeks.   

evgaboyd
lol I'm sitting at 740 on the spreadsheet. May have to start looking at the next generation of cards.

Celeras

frostbitee
Any idea what date and time we're at on the 3080 FTW3 (NON-ULTRA)? 

Hasn't moved. Only Ultras so far

Urobulus
I thought no email were sent at all yesterday?

Celeras

RefluentSundew2
Can I get linked this spreadsheet or whatever it is you guys talk about

It's been spammed every other page of the thread.. but fine lol