enewt

Dazzlaa

enewt
No, the only folks who know your specific position in the queue are the employees of EVGA. Yes, folks in the EU queue have received invite to purchase emails. BovineGamer keeps track of the EU queue (his summary is linked in my signature block below).

Best of luck.

Thanks for the reply :)

@BovineGamer , can you help out please?

Apologies for not posting last time, but I was on mobile and didn't have access to the link.  Here is BovineGamer's latest update: European Notify Queue Summary 
 
Good luck!

adam19

staypuft

We can only have one statistician here.  


You guys should look here for some more data, request that people post up their sequence numbers.
 
Also, the most important piece of data is average signups/sec.  Take your time delta from 10:00AM, multiply by the signup rate, equals the approximate number of people ahead of you.  Estimated.

 
Here's my final hurrah, I don't have the time to do this every day... I'm not as strong as enewt... Apologizes if my graph/excel game is weak; I'm a programmer, not a data scientist...
 
As of April 15th, 10:15PM PST
 
This shows the signups/sec vs the amount of time (in seconds) after 10am:

Here's also the data, I've added some rough guesses on how many people are ahead of you (equation is: # ahead of you + (delta - prev delta) * current notify/sec), think of it like a right riemann sum):

If you're interested, here's the link to the Pastebin of the above data. Download it as a CSV, pop it in Excel, and do all the computation your heart desires.
 
Good luck nick_shl.

enewt

sealancer

adam19

staypuft

We can only have one statistician here.  


You guys should look here for some more data, request that people post up their sequence numbers.
 
Also, the most important piece of data is average signups/sec.  Take your time delta from 10:00AM, multiply by the signup rate, equals the approximate number of people ahead of you.  Estimated.

 
Here's my final hurrah, I don't have the time to do this every day... I'm not as strong as enewt... Apologizes if my graph/excel game is weak; I'm a programmer, not a data scientist...
 
As of April 15th, 10:15PM PST
 
This shows the signups/sec vs the amount of time (in seconds) after 10am:

Here's also the data, I've added some rough guesses on how many people are ahead of you (equation is: # ahead of you + (delta - prev delta) * current notify/sec), think of it like a right riemann sum):

If you're interested, here's the link to the Pastebin of the above data. Download it as a CSV, pop it in Excel, and do all the computation your heart desires.
 
Good luck nick_shl.

are those queue nums really true?  3 million ppl signed up for open loop water cooled card?

 
The numbers in the far left column do not represent members in the queue. Think of them as a query counter for EVGA's auto-notify system.  I'll let the folks who are driving this exercise comment further....

Sakiz105
Received my email yesterday for 3070 xc3 ultra. Registration was done 10/29/2020 6:32:53 AM PT

static.quai
To give an example, this is one of my first items I added a notify for
 
('1747671','24G-P5-3987-KR','11/16/2020 8:54:19 AM')
 
This is my last thing I have entered a notify queue on
 
('3357768','24G-P5-3989-KR','4/15/2021 10:01:54 AM')
 
That's over 1.6 million adds in five months.  There's a lot of people who have interest in landing cards.  I know some cards move more than others, but any way you slice it, this is a lot of people.

Bora1114

kissTheApex
The number is in order from 9/16/20 and starts at roughly 1,100,000. 3080s start around there but 3060 start around 2,600,000. This means you will see higher ID numbers sold before lower ID numbers just because of later launches on different cards. 

See my edit. Numbers were both the 3090 HC queue with 15 or so difference and higher number having registered only 1 second before the other.

Bora1114

static.quai
To give an example, this is one of my first items I added a notify for
 
('1747671','24G-P5-3987-KR','11/16/2020 8:54:19 AM')
 
This is my last thing I have entered a notify queue on
 
('3357768','24G-P5-3989-KR','4/15/2021 10:01:54 AM')
 
That's over 1.6 million adds in five months.  There's a lot of people who have interest in landing cards.  I know some cards move more than others, but any way you slice it, this is a lot of people.

Its less people than it looks but still a lot. Most of the notifies are from people/bots signing up for every card available. 

xeddex
 
Also in that huge chunk of signups are people like me who signed up for multiple cards but intend to only ever buy one (whatever comes available first).  For me I have 8 signups but I'll only ever buy 1 card.  My other signups (whenever they eventually come up) will simply expire and be offered to the next person in line.  Also in that huge chunk are people who signed up but will never buy a card because of some other reason (like getting one elsewhere or giving up and going console <shiver>).  Net effect is that there are way more signups in these queues than actual purchases that will ever happen so don't let large queue number discourage you.  In my mind I wouldn't be surprised if only one card sold out of the 100 queue positions in front of wherever I am in a given queue but I also wouldn't be surprised if 4 cards sold out of the next 5 queue positions in front of me either.  Regardless, there are way more signups than purchases that will ever happen for a variety of reasons; but it's still taking f-o-r-e-v-e-r....

Bora1114

xeddex
 
 
Also in that huge chunk of signups are people like me who signed up for multiple cards but intend to only ever buy one (whatever comes available first).  For me I have 8 signups but I'll only ever buy 1 card.  My other signups (whenever they eventually come up) will simply expire and be offered to the next person in line.  Also in that huge chunk are people who signed up but will never buy a card because of some other reason (like getting one elsewhere or giving up and going console <shiver>).  Net effect is that there are way more signups in these queues than actual purchases that will ever happen so don't let large queue number discourage you.  In my mind I wouldn't be surprised if only one card sold out of the 100 queue positions in front of wherever I am in a given queue but I also wouldn't be surprised if 4 cards sold out of the next 5 queue positions in front of me either.  Regardless, there are way more signups than purchases that will ever happen for a variety of reasons; but it's still taking f-o-r-e-v-e-r....

The issue is 50-80% of the notifies are bots/scalpers. So a large portion of all sign ups will be bought and we will not hear about it until someone who isn't a bot/scalper gets one. It doesn't help the majority of people who aren't bots/scalpers aren't going to report they got it or may simply forget as well. What we are left with is probably 1%-5% of notifies reaching us here. 

Bora1114
 
I said that but ok.