enewt

cmil6199
only 421 more spots till i get a 3060 :D

 
Multiply that by Y.XX as we don't know how many folks have not submitted to those unofficial, self-reported spreadsheets yet are ahead of you in the queue. We do know that Y is ≥ 1.  
 
Best of luck!

enewt

adam19
Enewt, what is your best guess on when the shortage will be over? What's the chance the 4000 series cards come out as soon as 3000 series stock has stabilized 

So let me preference this by saying that I am just a gamer, not a silicon (or pinball) wizard. So please take this with all of the sodium chloride you can muster (look around the floor of this thread...there's plenty). I expect this to continue through 2021 and well into 2022. I do not see shortages resolving to pre-March 2020 levels in the next 12 to 18 months. 
 
I do think, however, that demand will decrease over time and that the 4000 series will not be so heavily sought after as the 3000 series (much like many folks skipped 20XX series).  Additionally, as a species, we need to get ourselves sorted with respect to the pandemic, working from home, schooling from home, etc. as that, in my opinion, will also drive how robust demand is going forward (folks who can go to work, school and generally socialize will not be as dependent on a regular upgrade cycle/gaming needs, etc.). If we are able to reemerge from our social isolation sooner rather than later, demand will drop...this is true whether we are talking about PC components, gaming consoles or game demand...all of these are in the balance.
 
I drafted this while on a work call so apologies if I shortchanged or shorthanded anything...hopefully it makes sense. 
 
Edit: It looks like nick_shl already answered.  Please ignore my random thoughts above.

enewt

oletorius
Yes, sir! I get on here every night and read about the mounds of progress made each day! It's the only thing that keeps me going!

Now you're just laying the sugar on thick.  Speaking of sugar..."Mounds of progress"? Not quite.  Maybe Smarties™ of progress?  What is the smallest candy?  I know, Nerds™ of Progress.  That is sounding a bit more accurate.

SyntaxTurtleNote that chip manufacturers have said they don't expect to see relief until Q1 or Q2 2022.  I suspect that Nvidia has a vested interest in painting as rosy a picture as possible (without being laughed out of the room).

ecfisher
I had the following invite for purchase email come through at about noon pacific time today, 4/13. I was at work, so it would have been awkward making a forum post about it at the time.
12G-P5-3657-KR 2/25/2021 9:36:04 AM PT Yes
I purchased it. 
 
For those interested unfortunately, the global auto notify identification number can only be determined if the 'remove notify' button is still there so I can inspect it. I can still retrieve my 3655 one. (It has not got to me yet of course.) 
<input type="button" value="Remove Notify" onclick="return removeNotify('2657269','12G-P5-3655-KR','2/25/2021 9:35:50 AM');"> 
I believe the the 3657 was a little over 300 auto notifies after. 
 
9:36 was a spookily late signup. I did not know to put the auto notify direct URL into my address bar, and while I was trying to get into the website, a Best Buy drop happened which distracted me. Nevertheless EVGA was able to make make enough of 3657 to get through those 36 min in a month and a half. This is my first discrete GPU for my first DIY desktop. I did not get serious about trying to buy a GPU until Jan 8, and when I first made the decision to build a desktop, and even starting the process of buying parts, I had not discovered that any and all GPUs, midrange and higher, new and old, were extremely difficult to buy at a fair price. I then entered every Newegg shuffle with every card in it except for a couple exceptions with MSI cards and four shuffles that missed do to scheduling, and before they started the shuffle spammed refresh on every hour and half hour on their site. I tried taking advantage of four Best Buy drops and was unable to complete a purchase. I tried driving over an hour to microcenter three times and lost much sleep waiting in line outside. I waffled to long about buying the 2060 during the B stock sale a few days ago. That would have been a good choice. The only method that ever yielded a graphics card and seems to have any hope of yielding any more graphics cards is the EVGA waitlist (Without a comparatively very poor price to performance ratio compared to an Nvidia 30 series or AMD 6000 series card at MSRP) .
 
EVGA has done many things to impress me, and I see why many people on this forum are so brand loyal. Sure, they goofed up the capacitors on early 3090s, but they have created this que system, which we all may have criticisms of, but for me, face it, it was the only way for me to get a card. They also have not raised there prices as much as the other AIBs, such that, in this generation buying a graphics card other then the founders addition or a EVGA AIB is card is to overpay. Lastly, they have the grandfathering in of the 'pre-tariff' price and has extended it to May 14.
 
Now, what I really and truly want, and have been primarily trying to buy is a 3090. A 3060 is still of great use to me, though, so I am settling on it. Reading this forum, I see many are in the same boat, as 3060s seem easier to buy than higher end cards, particularly 3060TIs and 3080s. This creates some ethical issues as we have this hope that as people managed to finally buy there cards, they will exit the market and it will become easier for others to buy a card, with the exception of new builder like me joining in and replenishing the demand. Also, at the potluck we always wait for everybody to be served once before going back for seconds. This hope is in vain, as going back for seconds is rampant for various reasons. You can think it through, but buying a 3060 while being in the 3090 customer base makes be somewhat of a bad person, and I did it anyway. The good news is, I will definitely not be competing with anybody to buy any SKU but a 3090 and and will definitely not be trying near as hard as I used to be.
 
When the announcement was made that elite members would have 24 hour early access to new product releases, I panicked, as I would like to obtain a 3090 hydro copper, and for the que, a 24 hour delay is ruinous. Now I have a 3060 that I can register on the way, the panic is slightly relieved. I will confess however, I convinced myself my mouse was a bit lousy and so I bought a mouse upgrade. My current a mouse that came with DELL inspiron desktop over eight years ago, and is as basic as it gets. That being said, looking over at it right now, it isn't really that bad. Whether I need it or not, I bought it. Maybe the keyboard is next. 

static.quai

cmil6199

enewt

cmil6199
only 421 more spots till i get a 3060 :D

 
Multiply that by Y.XX as we don't know how many folks have not submitted to those unofficial, self-reported spreadsheets yet are ahead of you in the queue. We do know that Y is ≥ 1.  
 
Best of luck!

Yeah, but we don't have to count those, because they aren't reported as completed either
 

You might need to circle back on this logic.  Spots can accordion out.  A very large number of people do not submit to these notify tracking sheets.  A larger number yet don't report back.. likely because even people who do pay attention don't really see a point if someone with a later queue time already reported back.  I mean, you could make your own sheet and then be only one spot away from your card of preference.  I guess it would be a more positive way of viewing these things.
 

nomoss
That’s my plan Drewski. I’m reaching out to friends now to see if anyone wants it or wants a new build around it. I can use the motherboard after all for a few weeks so finding a build buyer would be perfect so I could get a little something for labor and not feel like I was scamming anyone.

drewski989
They didnt have to grandfather queue prices until April either, EVGA seems to be trying to do right by their customers every step of the way.  Only way to make everyone happy is to have cards for everyone, and that's just not possible.  Good to hear that this may help you save $70 on your card.  Good luck and fast queue to you :D
 

Bora1114
I haven't been able to do any builds in a month and there are more people interested in custom builds now more than ever. 

Bora1114
 
I agree, it is quite relative. LTTs idea is actually good for the other AIBs but it is just disappointing that EVGA chose to participate.
 
I wish EVGA would create a queue system for loyal customers who have bought thousands of dollars in products over time. I haven't been able to do any builds in a month and there are more people interested in custom builds now more than ever. 

drewski989

Bora1114
 
I agree, it is quite relative. LTTs idea is actually good for the other AIBs but it is just disappointing that EVGA chose to participate.
 
I wish EVGA would create a queue system for loyal customers who have bought thousands of dollars in products over time. I haven't been able to do any builds in a month and there are more people interested in custom builds now more than ever. 

That sucks for system builders.  It is like a carpenter who can't buy 2x4s...  I am shocked there isnt some pipeline you could tap into specifically for system builders.  Surely a builder that preferred EVGA cards would be an attractive customer to EVGA.

Bora1114
I do, but mainly through word of mouth sales. Idt EVGA has any special account types and I don't do enough builds to warrant mass purchases.