Bora1114

static.quai

Bora1114

Hitch_Itch
Has anyone kept count on how many people's que has come up since the thread started?
Seems like no more than 100-200 tops which if anywhere near accurate, is really sad, hell even if 1000 peoples que came up, that's sad and there is no way 1000 people in here received a notify. 

The majority of people that get their notify do not report here nor signed up for the spreadsheet. On top of that, 50-80% of all notifies are most likely from individuals that put in notifies for every card (Scalpers,Miners,system builders). 

 
There are many thousands of people who had their notifications come up.  If you spent a minute and looked into how this works, you'd be able to figure that out pretty quick.  Boora has a good handle on these things, and he's not the brightest bulb out there  ;)

well thats not very nice. You could at least say im not the sharpest knife in the cookie jar. ;)

Hitch_Itch
there is not thousands of people in this thread that have replied "yes' to being notified
 

bucyrus5000
So many of the skews (3080s and 3090s) have not had any cards delivered since early October. 7 months, more than half a year, zero cards delivered to queued waitlisters.

I'm sure everyone at EVGA is working hard, and deserves more money...but many of us work hard and deserve more money. The price increases shouldn't happen when the zero cards have been delivered in 7 months.

drewski989
This is why the spreadsheet (in my opinion at least) cannot be trusted, we truly do not know the size of these queues or drops.  We can only hope the reported times are an accurate representation of true movement, but even then, we would only be pleasantly surprised to find out the queue was further ahead than enewt's list and simply not reported here.
 
The closest indicator is the UID/counter someone found in the underlying HTML a few weeks back, relating likely to Notify rows in EVGA's queue database.  That doesn't tell us much detail, but at least the highest UID - lowest UID = minimum number of notifies total across all skus.
 

Bora1114
 
You are completely correct tho. It does mainly track hardercore EVGA fans but the results were interesting. 
54.2% signed up for 3897 (2% of which signed up for other cards)
1.7% signed up for 3895
17.3% signed up for 3885
7.9% signed up for 3883
18.9% for 3881
 
I did 5PM 9/21 bc we know the rough UID for that time but didn't have enough data to draw any conclusions.

philipma1957
The spread sheet is completely trustable.  It simply reflects that chips for gpus are going to large mining farms and not to evga, asu ,msi ,pny etc.
 
We have about 5.1 million 3080's mining if all gear was a 3080.
They earn. 11 bucks to 12 bucks a day or 55 to 60 million a day. Even if all power mining was 30 cents a card makes 9-10 profit every day.
 
so 5.1 million x 9  = 45.9 million daily profit on the low end this would be 16.7 billion yearly
or 5.1 million x 10 = 51.0 million daily profit on the high end this would be 18.6 billion yearly
 
until those numbers drop way way way way way lower  the chips will go to big farms and not to gamers small pc builders or  small mine at home people.
 
Even with hash rate going up from 2.9 million to 5.1 million gpus in under 100 days eth makes more money today than it did back on jan 1.  (price of eth rose a lot)
 
Maybe in July there may be a crash and cards will be easy to get.

tshalev

drewski989

Bora1114

drewski989
This is why the spreadsheet (in my opinion at least) cannot be trusted, we truly do not know the size of these queues or drops.  We can only hope the reported times are an accurate representation of true movement, but even then, we would only be pleasantly surprised to find out the queue was further ahead than enewt's list and simply not reported here.
 
The closest indicator is the UID/counter someone found in the underlying HTML a few weeks back, relating likely to Notify rows in EVGA's queue database.  That doesn't tell us much detail, but at least the highest UID - lowest UID = minimum number of notifies total across all skus.
 

The spreadsheet is useful if you want the distribution of people who signed up for different cards and are interested enough in EVGA to participate in the forums. Trying to get drop data out of it is pointless though since it is likely a small percentage of all notifies. 

It might be able to provide a "sense" of the "hot skus", but the real mistake is the extrapolation and conclusions drawn from a sample of unknown size.  Plus, I would think "hardcore" EVGA folks are more likely to post here and more likely aiming for higher end cards, but again, that is a guess based on nothing more than gut feeling.  If the spreadsheet helps you, cool, not knocking it.  But for me, it didn't not help me learn anything of much worth (again worth is personal).

I mean, that is how research works. We do know the sample size; it's simply the amount of people who put their name down. We are making inference on a population of unknown size. There is always a degree of uncertainty, but at this point we have enough data that we are not extrapolating. Is it 100% accurate? No, of course not, but it's pretty good. And at this point, we've been able to track these slowdowns and changes in the pace of GPU distribution.

vndragonslayer1
 
im sorry u get triggered by bro/bruh... but boomers need to adapt or die.. nobody uses dude/man anymore..

drewski989

Do we know the sample size as it relates to the entire group?  I poll 10 people, out of how many total?  We dont know...  I also poll on a forum for EVGA queue, is that possibly skewed?  I dont want to get in a political example, but you cannot poll X number of people in Wyoming or X number of people in San Franciso, then extrapolate.  At least in that example, you know about the total number of voters based on history.  We have no idea the total, so extrapolate to what, another unknown or assumption?
 
Listen, I get that the spreadsheet is some of the best info we have, but that is not saying much, since we dont have a lot of visibility into any of this.