Heck of a jump. We were on 10/6 last I checked. Looks like it's less than a week of the step up calendar until my 10/15 finally!

ItsAlyJay
my 2070 super arrived early on Friday 7/12 but the website didn't update till late that afternoon. was hoping to get a tracking number sometime today but still haven't. anyone else from this last batch also in the same spot? 

Yep, same situation.
Though mine previously had a water block on it, so I expect the inspection of it to take a little longer than usual. Projected ship is the 14th

Best case scenario, could be as early as two weeks away if both get a drop like last week.

My 2070 super was delivered today and they shipped my new card. Delivery is expected for 7/15.

bicknyers
No way 10/11 for a 10/23 sign up, is it linear regression or did you fit a quadratic/exponential? I think more weight to later dates, since there was a lot of variation in the constrained supply early on.

That was my reaction too when I first punched in the date. After some thought though, the drops have not been consistent. Sometimes drops a couple of weeks in a row, then nothing at all for a couple of weeks. Typically the drops cover a couple of days at most. Under what we've been seeing historically, 10/11 for a 10/23 sign up is not actually crazy.

It's a linear regression plot - quadratic/linear had some crazy results for some reason. I had also plotted only more recent points to try seeing how that affected the outcome. Funny thing was, the latest iteration had both plots give me the same predicted date (sheer coincidence -  I think). In the end it doesn't really matter. Trying to accurately predict these drop dates considering more than logical systems are at play here is just lunacy. In my opinion, with something so complex, it's just better to keep it simple and accept it's flawed.
 
As mentioned before, if things have actually changed, then yes, it would break a linear formula. That also means you can expect your card sooner than 3 months from now. At least that's a ballpark window.

Randallell
Does a 3080 from the Step Up come with a 3 year warranty, or does it go based off of the warranty of your previous card?

You're current card's warranty transfers to your new card.

SteveO92

Trackseven75
My date is 10/23 so I guess it will be some time still.

 
My graph shows 10/11/2021 for someone who signed up on 10/23/2020. The assumptions here are one point for each signup date, equal weighting for each date, and things continue as they have since they started processing step-ups. The plot has an r-squared value of 0.9815.
 
I predicted I would get my drop on 7/3/2021, I got it on 7/6/2021.
 
What would break the graph is if things HAVE changed. In which case you should expect sooner, but if they haven't, you can expect October. So look at this as a worst case scenario.

What about who signed in on 10/11 :D

Gremlin256

SteveO92

Trackseven75
My date is 10/23 so I guess it will be some time still.

 
My graph shows 10/11/2021 for someone who signed up on 10/23/2020. The assumptions here are one point for each signup date, equal weighting for each date, and things continue as they have since they started processing step-ups. The plot has an r-squared value of 0.9815.
 
I predicted I would get my drop on 7/3/2021, I got it on 7/6/2021.
 
What would break the graph is if things HAVE changed. In which case you should expect sooner, but if they haven't, you can expect October. So look at this as a worst case scenario.

What about who signed in on 10/11 :D

Again, take with a grain of salt at this point: August 2nd. If things are still gaining traction, maybe a bit longer.

SteveO92

bicknyers
No way 10/11 for a 10/23 sign up, is it linear regression or did you fit a quadratic/exponential? I think more weight to later dates, since there was a lot of variation in the constrained supply early on.

That was my reaction too when I first punched in the date. After some thought though, the drops have not been consistent. Sometimes drops a couple of weeks in a row, then nothing at all for a couple of weeks. Typically the drops cover a couple of days at most. Under what we've been seeing historically, 10/11 for a 10/23 sign up is not actually crazy.

It's a linear regression plot - quadratic/linear had some crazy results for some reason. I had also plotted only more recent points to try seeing how that affected the outcome. Funny thing was, the latest iteration had both plots give me the same predicted date (sheer coincidence -  I think). In the end it doesn't really matter. Trying to accurately predict these drop dates considering more than logical systems are at play here is just lunacy. In my opinion, with something so complex, it's just better to keep it simple and accept it's flawed.
 
As mentioned before, if things have actually changed, then yes, it would break a linear formula. That also means you can expect your card sooner than 3 months from now. At least that's a ballpark window.

Definitely agree with all points there, it's a good ballpark for sure. When I saw R^2=0.98 I was thinking ahhh that's gotta be really overfit, no way 3080 stock has been this predictable. I did something similar around Dec./Jan. to set my expectations of what kind of timescale we were talking about for waiting, and realized at the time that it was best for me to just forget about getting the card until summer

Kudos to thee! What are you going to play first?
 
And also, to all waiting, Jacob followed up his tweet with saying that there will be a lot of good movement with the 3080 in the Step Up program in the coming weeks, so that's DEFINITELY news. That's not something he would normally say.

dusteraz
(Cost was $23.04 for UPS ground w/ $500 insurance from Phoenix)

 
Man the UPS Store charged me $42 for that same shipping! Ah well, I got my card and all is well. I need to buy a new game now though. CP2077 maybe now with the patches.

15vincentk
Mine was delivered today. How long did it take for them to send you an email that it was received and being processed?

Same day

15vincentk
Mine was delivered today. How long did it take for them to send you an email that it was received and being processed?

It will depend on when they get to your gpu for review/inspection.  Once it clears that then they pull the GPU they set aside for your step up for processing and packing.  Once that is done then if they have space in their shipping alotment it is sent out.  There is usually a day or two once they receive it for it to clear inspection.  It's been that way for the two GPUs I sent if for step up.  Sometimes people get lucky and get the delivery date and ship out the same day, but that is not the norm.  The two I had were at evga for about a day or two before they cleared inspection.  One was brand new sealed in box still, and other was used for gaming for about 3 months.  Once they cleared one was shipped the same day "received" and the other was the day after.  Your wait should be over soon.  
 
One word of advice is if you haven't upgraded the warranty on your original GPU, you will have the option again once EVGA assigns a new serial number to your account.  It is a great option if you plan on keeping your card longer than the 3 years for a very reasonable price.  

3080 FTW3 Ultra:
Date Registered: 10/6/2020 8:33:41 AM
Step-Up Queue
7/6/2021
Processed Payment
7/6/2021

Received
7/14/2021

Shipped Out
7/15/2021

I'm in the same boat, I think I'll be getting that 10 year warranty, too. The EVGA website says it's $60 for extended 10 year for anything over $500.