leosoares
Hello guys, anyone near 09/22/20 already has been invited ??

howe10888
Please add this:
9/25/2020 7:19:56 AM PT

q5sys

vaxman65
 
Not all days are created equal. The unofficial tracking sheet is just that, unofficial, but it can give some statistical insight:
- 45% of all RTX 3030 FTW3 Ultra cards were waitlisted on 9/17
- 13% of all RTX 3030 FTW3 Ultra cards were waitlisted on 9/18
- Later days have 3-6% of the signups
 

 
Yea but there's also a lot of uncertainty built into those numbers, so really, what statistical insight they give us is questionable.
Those people who signed up on the 17th are MOST interested in when can get their card because they're in the first group of signups... so it stands to reason that since they think they are closer to getting their cards they want to know where they are in the queue.

Where as people that signed up after 9/18... have accepted it's going to be a month or greater so why waste the time to put their info on the spreadsheet and check it everyday when they have accepted it'll be December. 

The people most interested in their place in the queue (those first day sign-ups) are going to be the ones who are signing up and trying to track their place with that spreadsheet.  That'll lead to an overwhelming representation of first day signups, due to personal interest from those people.

Malkuth74
The Associates codes work good.. Takes about 40 bucks off the card.. :)  But than you get about 35 bucks in taxes.. LOL.. Still good though..

mr00000
I have some notifies from the evening on 9/16. I presume we're mostly waiting on a batch of XC3s?

q5sys

Nereus
 
While that may apply to you, it certainly doesn't apply to everyone. Many people who are likely well over a week or a month away from receiving an email to buy their card are still following it closely, particularly knowing that production is supposed to be ramping up, so waiting until December is not at all a given. What does it matter what other people think anyway? If you're not interested, don't look at the spreadsheet ..just trying to figure the point of your post really. lol.

 
That the lack of people adding their dates to the sheet with dates after 9/17 and 9/18 doesn't mean those people don't exist.  That's the principle that the prior person was basing their comments on.  That's not a knowable thing, it's an assumption that the lack of dates on a random spreadsheet on the internet after 9/18 means the number of people is lower.   While that may in fact be true... we cannot prove that it is true based on the data we have.  

There are 2 data points.


A - The ratio of people posting their details on a spreadsheet with dates before/after 9/18 
B - The ratio of people that exist with dates before/after 9/18.
A != B
We have incomplete data, and drawing conclusions from incomplete and data will not result in a factual representation of the state of affairs.  We cannot say that since we dont see more listings on a spreadsheet that those people do not exist. 
 
Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. 

We cannot conclude from the data we have, both that there **are** or **arent** more people after 9/18 than what is listed.  However as listing oneself takes effort, its "potentially" more correct that the lower number is due to laziness or not caring than it is to people not existing.  Since the default action of doing nothing would result in an unreported value.