And by GPU exodus, I mean exodus from miner's rigs.
 
Been hearing multiple people speculate on what this Summer and Fall might look like on the used GPU marketplace scene (ebay, etc).  The theory is that so many people around the globe are getting out of crypto right now, and that there will be a flood of 30 series (and others) GPUs that are trying to be offloaded while there is still value.  We could see prices plummet with everyone trying to undercut each other.  Could mean a good opportunity to score a quality used GPU as we head into Summer and Fall.  Again this is all speculation and just meant for fun, but to also maybe provide some insight to what could happen in the near future for anyone on a budget or looking to upgrade.
 
Some factors worth taking into consideration:

1. Everyone knows Crypto is down.  As of today BTC (and specifically Ethereum) is down 50% from it's peak value 9 months ago.  I'd speculate that we will continue to see prices rise and fall, but it does seem like we hit the ceiling 9 months ago, and there isn't much to indicate that the prices on BTC will go up any time soon.  ROI has diminished greatly.
2. Energy prices up.  This factors in to point #1 on ROI.  With projected blackouts forecasted this Summer, expect energy prices to continue to rise making it even less appealing to run a mining rig.
3. Economic factors / inflation - 2020 through 2021 saw many people at home with nothing to do and free money in their pockets from the gov't, so there was much higher demand on the limited supply.  This year is different with people returning to work/school and getting outside the house, along with crushing food, gas and general good prices.  In short, people have less expendable income to build new computers/upgrade their gpus and pay top dollar doing so.
4. (rumored) 40 series will devalue older series cards on launch day. dropping prices even further.
5. The rumored 40 series GPUs coming out early (late July early August).  If true,  some will say that an early release could be a strategic move in response to newer AMD skus recently dropped, along with blocking market share for Intel Arc GPUs which are now delayed.  But other people are speculating that Nvidia may be well aware of this potential used GPU exodus and they doing everything to get their product out before this all happens.
6. Current GPU's selling at below MSRP.  Just today it was announced on Videocardz that EVGA's flagship 3090ti is now selling below MSRP.  This would suggest that we are finally starting to see healthy inventory levels.  I would speculate that they have healthy inbound shipments as well and this is when you see discounts happen on hard goods that have a logistical balancing act.  Link: https://videocardz.com/ne...rtx-3090-ti-under-msrp
7. Scalping is dead.   See above point #6.

 
Curious what others might have to add to these points and to know if you agree on these points or if you disagree.  My projection is seeing some great value on say a 3090 card, maybe with-in days or weeks after the 40 series launch.  People will argue that buying a used or mining GPU is a bad idea..  It is always a buyer beware kind of thing obviously.

Mining has been around for a long time and we didn't see a flood of 10XX cards four years ago and we didn't really see a flood two years ago of the 20XX. In the past mining has crashed and no huge rush to unload.

If you waited this long, keep waiting until market on GPU hits rock bottom.  I bet will see 40 series cards this year. Just hope they finally keep prices in check (yeah right i know). I can't stomach over $800+ for XX80's cards. Will probably have to wait until Intel GPU's are on the market to help keep prices in check for mid/low tier cards.
 
My GTX 1060 6GB FTW is still chugging along.
 
 

Grey_Beard
This has been in motion for some time. This is why I waited so long to buy a newer GPU. 

At this point you may as well wait for the 40 series and try to be one of the first in line for one, also word of advice get a new psu to go with it, even a 30 series card you do not want to use older psu's manufactured/designed & released before the 30 series release. It may go pop it may not. Better safe than sorry.

I would say DO NOT get a 3090, used or new, unless you are prepared to do some surgery to cool the back vram much better and at the very least put the hybrid kit on. I think thats where most of the issues are coming from with that card,excessive heat spreading to many components causing resistance/higher power draws/more heat etc... but all the other 30 series cards dont have backside vram and dont seem to be a problem, unless theyve been folded or mined to death. Def agree about the HBM cards, which really is such a shame. The person selling the card matters as much as the card, imo. Some people just dont take care of their things and if it was doing heavy work in a harsh environment just stay far away, its not worth the gamble and headaches.

I have seen prices come down dramatically lately

I just want to see the aftermath of all this going on.

bill1024
I would love to find a cheap Radeon VII

Buildzoid had an entire video just saying not to buy those  Apparently the HBM config on them wasn't particularly reliable, none of it can be repaired once anything on the interposer fails, and even the 1080 Ti's were marginally more performant anyway. 

bill1024
Not sure who Buildzoid is but I have one, I use to run BOINC Milkyway this thing is a beast.
it out produces by three times my 3080Ti. It's water cooled, uses 200 watts and can do 6 tasks at the same time running 24/7 without breaking a sweat.. A Nvidia P100, V100 or TitanV=$$$$$$ would top the Vll but the price, and not by a lot.
The new 10xx 20xx and 30xx gimped the DP Double Precision  FP64 calculations on the new cards back to the Titan 6gb/black.
Heck if the prices of these goes way down I will buy several of them.
My old R9-280x, R9-7990, Titan 6gb out produce a GTX-3080Ti or 3090 in Milkyway the R9-VII is king for the price
I still today use all of those old cards in challenges/sprints, the new Nvidia are gimped.
Besides Milkyway it is also good in Universe, Einstein and a couple PG subprojects.
 
So yeah everyone listen to Builzoid and sell off your really good cards for cheap. And other don't buy them.
Please.

Then go for it. But it doesn't change that they draw more power than a 1080 Ti and have slightly worse folding and gaming performance. They aren't at all miracle cards and nothing on them tends to be repairable. But if they work great for your use case and the risk doesn't bother you then by all means go for it. 
 
Buildzoid is a professional overclocker, runs the AHOC channel and does component breakdown analysis on video card and motherboard VRM designs. He's worth following just because if someone builds a crappy motherboard or GPU VRM design he tends to notice it. He was spot on about the old GTX Titan / Titan Black VRM design which had a poor VRAM configuration that tended to blow up. Which is exactly what my EVGA Titan Black Hydro did when the VRAM mosfet/inductor blew out and voltage spiked the memory. Never even overclocked the VRAM on that card. By the time I found someone that did VRAM chipset repairs the card wasn't worth it, so it's a wall ornament now. 

bill1024
Odd my two Titan 6gb and Vll work great
The two cards he thinks are bad.
Who repairs a video card anyway besides replace a fan… Either warranty RMA or just buy a new one.
But to each their own
Don’t believe everything you read, hear or see.

To save our environment from waste, I'd like to see more GPU repair in PC shops. I already know two or three companies.